A convicted sex offender predicted Trump’s VP pick before the announcement
If there was one person I was not expecting to be in this Epstein Estate file dump, it was Mike Pence. But here we are.
On July 14, 2016, someone sent Jeffrey Epstein an email. Just two words: “good call on pence.”
Trump announced Mike Pence as his running mate the next day, July 15. Which means Epstein knew before the public did. Someone had told him. And he’d told other people. And he was right.
This is what insider campaign knowledge looks like.
The email is in the documents released by the House Oversight Committee. It’s from someone named Richard Kahn, confirming that Epstein had correctly predicted Trump’s VP pick. Not speculation. Not a lucky guess. A prediction made with enough confidence that Epstein shared it with others before the announcement.
Think about what has to happen for that to work. Someone inside the Trump campaign has to know the decision. That person has to tell Epstein. Epstein has to tell other people. Then Trump makes the announcement. Then someone confirms back to Epstein that he was right.
That’s not gossip. That’s intelligence.
As it turns out, July 2016 was peak primary season chaos. Trump had just secured the nomination. The VP pick was one of the most closely guarded decisions of the campaign. Political reporters were tracking planes and watching for clues. And somehow, Epstein, a convicted sex offender in Florida, knew before most of them did.
This fits with what we saw in the last post about Larry Summers. After Trump won, elite circles were treating Epstein as someone who had access to information they couldn’t get through normal channels. Summers asked him about Russian kompromat. Wall Street traders were consulting him about Trump policy moves. Michael Wolff spent a hundred hours interviewing him about Trump’s psychology.
But the Pence prediction shows this wasn’t just about analysis. This was about access. Real-time insider information from inside the campaign.
The question is, who was feeding it to him?
The documents show Epstein had connections to several people in Trump’s orbit. Steve Bannon met with him in March 2018. Peter Thiel had meetings arranged by Epstein. Michael Wolff was in regular contact discussing Trump strategy. Any of them could have been sources. Or it could have been someone else entirely.
What we know is that someone with campaign access thought it was worth keeping Epstein informed. And Epstein thought it was worth sharing with his network. And his network thought it was worth confirming back to him when he was right.
This is how intelligence operations work. You build credibility by demonstrating accurate information. Each correct prediction makes people trust you more. Each person you share with becomes part of your network. Each confirmation strengthens your position as someone who knows things.
Epstein wasn’t just collecting dirt on people. He was collecting information about what they were doing, who they were talking to, what decisions they were making. The Pence prediction shows he had visibility into campaign operations at the highest level.
And this wasn’t the only time. After the election, someone else sent Epstein an email saying “you were right” about something Trump-related. A French politician named Jack Lang sent him a message saying “once again you are right.” Multiple people were tracking Epstein’s predictions and confirming when they came true.
That’s not how you treat someone making wild guesses. That’s how you treat someone with sources.
The emails also show Epstein was tracking every aspect of Trump’s transition and presidency. He emailed himself about the inauguration. He received assessments calling Trump’s cabinet picks “truly moronic.” He monitored defense spending plans. He tracked Deutsche Bank investigations. He followed every scandal, every policy move, every personnel change.
From 2016 through his death in 2019, Epstein was running systematic surveillance on Trump. Not casual interest. Not obsessive fan behavior. Organized intelligence gathering with multiple sources feeding him information in real time.
The Pence prediction is important because it’s verifiable. We can check the timestamp. We can see the announcement date. We can confirm Epstein knew before the public did. That makes it harder to dismiss the rest of what he was tracking as speculation or rumor.
If he had insider knowledge about the VP pick in July 2016, what else did he know? If someone thought it was worth keeping him informed about campaign decisions, what other decisions was he being told about? If his predictions were accurate enough that people confirmed them back to him, what other predictions did he make?
And here’s the part that matters most. Epstein died in August 2019. These emails span from 2011 through then. For at least eight years, possibly longer, he was gathering intelligence on Trump. Building sources. Making predictions. Getting confirmed.
All of which raises the question we started with in the first post. What happened to all that intelligence when he died?
The documents show he had it. The emails prove people believed it was accurate. The pattern demonstrates systematic collection. But we still don’t know if he ever used it. And if he didn’t, why not?
That’s what the next posts will explore. Because the Pence prediction shows Epstein had intelligence capability. Larry Summers asking him about kompromat shows elite belief in his knowledge. And the pattern of people confirming “you were right” shows his credibility was established.
But having leverage and using leverage are two different things. And understanding why Epstein might have held onto information without deploying it tells us something important about how this whole operation worked.
Follow the connections via GriftMatrix.
FACT CHECK
“Good Call on Pence” Email
Richard Kahn to Jeffrey Epstein, July 14, 2016: “good call on pence.” Email confirmed in House Oversight Committee document release, specifically HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_033305.jpg from Folder 012.
Trump Announces Pence
Trump announced Mike Pence as VP running mate on July 15, 2016, one day after the email to Epstein. Multiple contemporaneous news sources confirm announcement date.
Post-Election “You Were Right” Confirmation
Bruce Moskowitz to Epstein, December 31, 2016, subject line “Chatter”: “FYI you were right. Happy New Year.” Email HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_019211 in TEXT/001 folder.
Jack Lang “Once Again You Are Right”
French politician Jack Lang sent message to Epstein confirming another correct prediction. Referenced in investigation files from document release.
Other Campaign/Presidency Surveillance
Cabinet picks assessment (December 1, 2016), defense spending monitoring (January 27, 2017), inauguration tracking, Deutsche Bank investigation monitoring all documented in released emails spanning 2016-2019.
Epstein Death Date
August 10, 2019, in Manhattan jail cell while awaiting trial on federal sex trafficking charges. Ruled suicide by medical examiner.
SOURCES
https://www.cnn.com/2025/11/12/politics/epstein-trump-emails-oversight-committee
https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/news/epstein-files-trump-takeaways-rcna243554
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/trump-administration/live-blog/trump-jeffrey-epstein-ghislaine-maxwell-house-wolff-live-updates-rcna243503
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/read-jeffrey-epsteins-newly-released-emails-about-trump
https://www.jurist.org/news/2025/11/house-democrats-release-epstein-emails-claiming-trump-knew-about-underage-victims/
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/11/12/nation/jeffery-epstein-emails-live-updates/